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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
NL

Frosinone
1 - 3
Napoli

Harroui (7' pen.)
Oyono (12'), Mazzitelli (45+5'), Gelli (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Politano (24'), Osimhen (42', 79')
Lobotka (13'), Cajuste (27'), Olivera (39'), Garcia (87+87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frosinone 1-0 Pisa
Friday, August 11 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 0-2 Napoli

Both clubs had the best defensive records in their respective divisions last season, but Frosinone's stats will be far harder to maintain this year. Although Napoli must adapt to life without their Scudetto-winning coach, they can get off to a winning start against promoted opponents who may need some time to settle back into Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawNapoli
23.4% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.26%51.34% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 49.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)53.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.33% (0.0039999999999978 0)74.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31%20.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71%53.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 23.4%
    Napoli 51.34%
    Draw 25.25%
FrosinoneDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.71%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.5%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.4%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 12.29%
0-2 @ 9.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-3 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-4 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 51.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frosinone 1-0 Pisa
Friday, August 11 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Ternana 2-3 Frosinone
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Frosinone 3-2 Genoa
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 1-3 Frosinone
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Frosinone 3-1 Reggina
Monday, May 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Frosinone 0-0 Sudtirol
Saturday, April 22 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Napoli
Thursday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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