Napoli are still some way short of last season's scintillating form, but they should have enough gas left in the tank to secure back-to-back wins by beating Cagliari. The Isolani have picked up just two points on the road this term, so even their hosts' dire home record may not help them.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
0.06) 
-0.01) 
