Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Turk Hava Yollari Futbol Markazi IV meydanca
Saief (19'), Silvestre (68')
Matias (44'), Zulfugarli (90+10'), Brkic (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kosoric (44'), Rustemovic (45'),
Krpic (79'), Jasarevic (90+10')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Zeljeznicar.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Zeljeznicar had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Zeljeznicar win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.
| Result |
| Neftchi Baku | Draw | Zeljeznicar |
40.27% ( -0.02) | 26.43% ( 0) | 33.3% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.02) |
| 47.63% ( -0.03) | 52.37% ( 0.02) |
| 25.94% ( -0.03) | 74.05% ( 0.02) |
| 74.43% ( -0.02) | 25.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.55% ( -0.03) | 60.44% ( 0.03) |
| 70.34% ( -0.01) | 29.66% ( 0.01) |
