SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 83.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 5.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.6%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Naftan |
83.41% ( 0.04) | 11.51% ( -0.02) | 5.07% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.71% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.45% ( 0.05) | 34.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.52% ( 0.05) | 56.48% ( -0.05) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.93% ( 0.02) | 6.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.93% ( 0.05) | 23.06% ( -0.05) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.33% ( -0.02) | 56.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.15% ( -0.01) | 88.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Naftan |
| 2-0 @ 13.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 12.6% 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.16% 4-1 @ 5.02% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)7-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 83.4% | 1-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 11.51% | 0-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 5.07% |
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