SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
19.98% ( -0.23) | 22.27% ( -0.15) | 57.74% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% ( 0.35) | 44.63% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( 0.34) | 67% ( -0.34) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( -0.04) | 36.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( -0.04) | 73.08% ( 0.03) |
| Slavia Mozyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( 0.25) | 15.18% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.19% ( 0.46) | 43.81% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Slavia Mozyr |
| 1-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.98% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.23% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.74% |
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