SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Naftan win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Slutsk |
29.95% ( 0.1) | 24.35% ( 0.04) | 45.7% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.14) | 44.62% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( -0.13) | 66.99% ( 0.13) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% | 28.02% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% | 63.67% ( -0) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( -0.12) | 19.66% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.36% ( -0.19) | 51.64% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Slutsk |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.7% |
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