Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Neman in this match.

Result
Neman	Draw	Torpedo-BelAZ
45.15% ( 0.15)	27.39% ( -0.06)	27.46% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.85% (

0.16)

58.14% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2% (

0.13)

78.8% (

-0.13)

Neman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32% (

0.15)

25.67% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41% (

0.2)

60.58% (

-0.21)

Torpedo-BelAZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.05% (

0.01)

36.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.26% (

0.01)

73.73% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Neman 45.14%

Torpedo-BelAZ 27.46%

Draw 27.38%

Neman	Draw	Torpedo-BelAZ
1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.14%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 27.46%