SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Poland | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | France |
34.78% ( 0.17) | 26.12% ( -0.09) | 39.1% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( 0.42) | 50.83% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0.37) | 72.72% ( -0.37) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( 0.31) | 27.98% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( 0.39) | 63.61% ( -0.39) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( 0.15) | 25.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( 0.2) | 60.34% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Netherlands | Draw | France |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.78% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.1% |
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