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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
OPAP Arena
FN
Greece
2 - 2
France
Bakasetas (56'), Ioannidis (61')
Bouchalakis (34'), Retsos (40'), Ioannidis (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kolo (42'), Fofana (74')
Dembele (34'), Fofana (55'), Griezmann (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 2-0 New Zealand
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 14-0 Gibraltar
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Greece 0-2 France

Tuesday's contest may be a reality check of sorts for France, who will not carve open a defensively-sound Greece side in the same manner as they did against the 10 men of a beleaguered Gibraltar, and Poyet's men will have had an extra day to recover from their exertions. The absence of two experienced lynchpins in Kourbelis and Mantalos is far from ideal for the Pirate Ship, though, and while changes are in the offing, we still expect France to close out a perfect qualification campaign with 24 points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for France had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
GreeceDrawFrance
44.82% (-0.849 -0.85) 25.54% (0.399 0.4) 29.64% (0.453 0.45)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-1.015 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (-1.449 -1.45)49.95% (1.453 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (-1.306 -1.31)71.94% (1.311 1.31)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.99199999999999 -0.99)22.25% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-1.514 -1.51)55.69% (1.519 1.52)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.416 -0.42)30.94% (0.42 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (-0.492 -0.49)67.23% (0.496 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Greece 44.82%
    France 29.64%
    Draw 25.54%
GreeceDrawFrance
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.377 0.38)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 29.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Greece 2-0 New Zealand
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 0-1 Netherlands
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 5-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Greece
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 14-0 Gibraltar
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 4-1 Scotland
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 France
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 2-1 France
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: France 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
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2Liverpool15104134142034
3Aston Villa15102334201432
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7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1582532171526
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton157443227525
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham157352625124
10Chelsea155462624219
11Brentford155462321219
12Fulham155372126-518
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves155372025-518
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16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest153481627-1113
17Everton156271820-210
18Luton TownLuton1523101630-149
19Burnley1521121533-187
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1512121141-305
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