SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 7 | 26 | 21 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Greece | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 7 | -35 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 7 | 26 | 21 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Greece | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 7 | -35 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for France had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greece | Draw | France |
44.82% ( -0.85) | 25.54% ( 0.4) | 29.64% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% ( -1.45) | 49.95% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( -1.31) | 71.94% ( 1.31) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.99) | 22.25% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.31% ( -1.51) | 55.69% ( 1.52) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( -0.42) | 30.94% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.76% ( -0.49) | 67.23% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greece | Draw | France |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.64% |
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