Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Victoria Stadium

Gibraltar
0 - 6
Netherlands

De Haro (83')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Stengs (10', 50', 62'), Wieffer (23'), Koopmeiners (38'), Gakpo (81')
Teze (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Gibraltar and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with Gibraltar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: France 14-0 Gibraltar
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	7	26	21
2	Netherlands	7	4	15
3	Greece	7	6	12
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	7	-35	0

Netherlands

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Netherlands 1-0 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	7	26	21
2	Netherlands	7	4	15
3	Greece	7	6	12
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	7	-35	0

We said: Gibraltar 0-5 Netherlands

While there should be no repeat of their 14-0 dismantling at the hands of France, it will be another backs-against-the-wall job for Gibraltar on Tuesday night, as the Netherlands do their utmost to earn a place in Pot 2. Several fringe players ought to be handed golden opportunities to impress Koeman, whose men should encounter no obstacles whatsoever en route to a straightforward success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 92.22%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 1.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.74%) and 0-4 (13.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.76%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Gibraltar	Draw	Netherlands
1.53% ( 0.04)	6.24% ( 0.31)	92.22% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 25.57% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.9% (

-1.61)

30.09% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.69% (

-1.96)

51.3% (

1.95)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

26.54% (

-0.78)

73.45% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

3.88% (

-0.24)

96.11% (

0.24)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.31% (

-0.29)

3.68% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.16% (

-0.97)

15.84% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Gibraltar 1.53%

Netherlands 92.21%

Draw 6.25%

Gibraltar	Draw	Netherlands
Other @ 1.53% Total : 1.53%	1-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.79% Total : 6.25%	0-3 @ 16.22% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 14.74% ( 0.63) 0-4 @ 13.39% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.59) 0-5 @ 8.84% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.08) 0-6 @ 4.87% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.13% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.18) 0-7 @ 2.3% ( -0.19) 1-6 @ 1.5% ( -0.14) 0-8 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.06% Total : 92.21%