SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 7 | 26 | 21 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Greece | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 7 | -35 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 7 | 26 | 21 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Greece | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 7 | -35 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 92.22%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 1.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.74%) and 0-4 (13.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.76%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | Netherlands |
1.53% ( 0.04) | 6.24% ( 0.31) | 92.22% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 25.57% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.9% ( -1.61) | 30.09% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.69% ( -1.96) | 51.3% ( 1.95) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 26.54% ( -0.78) | 73.45% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 3.88% ( -0.24) | 96.11% ( 0.24) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.31% ( -0.29) | 3.68% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 84.16% ( -0.97) | 15.84% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Netherlands |
| Other @ 1.53% Total : 1.53% | 1-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.79% Total : 6.25% | 0-3 @ 16.22% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 14.74% ( 0.63)0-4 @ 13.39% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.59)0-5 @ 8.84% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.08)0-6 @ 4.87% ( -0.27)1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 4.13% ( -0.17)1-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.18)0-7 @ 2.3% ( -0.19)1-6 @ 1.5% ( -0.14)0-8 @ 0.95% ( -0.1)Other @ 4.06% Total : 92.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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