SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
24.8% ( 0.29) | 19.41% ( 0.03) | 55.78% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 71.64% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.22% ( 0.19) | 24.78% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.36% ( 0.24) | 44.63% ( -0.25) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0.29) | 21.01% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.21% ( 0.46) | 53.79% ( -0.46) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.69% ( -0.02) | 9.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.59% ( -0.03) | 31.41% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.81% | 1-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.41% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.5% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.48% Total : 55.78% |
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