SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Sheffield United |
77.37% ( 0.16) | 13.49% ( -0.07) | 9.14% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.12% ( 0.03) | 26.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.67% ( 0.04) | 47.33% ( -0.04) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.38% ( 0.03) | 5.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 78.19% ( 0.1) | 21.81% ( -0.1) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( -0.16) | 39.74% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.59% ( -0.15) | 76.41% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 5.25% Total : 77.37% | 1-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.49% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 9.14% |
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