SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
47.21% ( 0.08) | 21.44% ( -0.02) | 31.35% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 69.42% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.22% ( 0.06) | 29.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.07% ( 0.07) | 50.92% ( -0.07) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% ( 0.04) | 13.38% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.71% ( 0.1) | 40.28% ( -0.1) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( -0) | 19.86% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.04% ( -0.01) | 51.96% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 47.21% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.02% 0-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.35% |
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