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FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
NL

Man City
2 - 0
Newcastle

Silva (13', 31')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Schar (18'), Lascelles (28'), Almiron (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Man City
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.36%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawNewcastle United
80.88% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 11.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01) 8.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 64.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.61% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.72% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)34.28% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)3.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.43% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)14.57% (0.016 0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)70.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 80.88%
    Newcastle United 8.04%
    Draw 11.07%
Manchester CityDrawNewcastle United
3-1 @ 8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.36%
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 6.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 3.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 3.71%
6-1 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
6-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.34%
7-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
7-0 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
5-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 80.88%
1-1 @ 4.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.58%
0-0 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 11.07%
1-2 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 8.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Man City
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Copenhagen
Wednesday, March 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-6 Man City
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Man City
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Brentford
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Wolves
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Newcastle (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Newcastle
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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