SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
46.9% ( -0.39) | 23.15% ( 0.09) | 29.95% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 62.09% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% ( -0.24) | 39.02% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.66% ( -0.25) | 61.34% ( 0.25) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( -0.24) | 16.97% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.93% ( -0.43) | 47.07% ( 0.43) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.08) | 25.22% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( 0.11) | 59.96% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.19% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.95% |
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