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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
St. James' Park
EL

Newcastle
1 - 1
Everton

Isak (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Calvert-Lewin (88' pen.)
Tarkowski (81'), McNeil (90+8'), Chermiti (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Everton
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 19.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
60.57% (0.624 0.62) 20.34% (-0.137 -0.14) 19.08% (-0.489 -0.49)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-0.41 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.87% (-0.129 -0.13)37.12% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.68% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)59.32% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (0.131 0.13)11.9% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.76% (0.282 0.28)37.24% (-0.286 -0.29)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (-0.568 -0.57)32.84% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (-0.637 -0.64)69.41% (0.634 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 60.57%
    Everton 19.08%
    Draw 20.34%
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 7% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.28% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.34% (0.09 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.42% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.34%
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 19.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 4-3 West Ham
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Newcastle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Wolves
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Newcastle (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-1 Everton
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Everton
Saturday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Everton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace
Monday, February 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Everton
Saturday, February 10 at 12.30pm in Premier League


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