Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 2-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Newry City AFC | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
22.75% ( -0.02) | 22.77% ( 0.02) | 54.48% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.47% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.66% ( -0.11) | 43.34% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.26% ( -0.11) | 65.74% ( 0.11) |
Newry City AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.09% ( -0.08) | 32.91% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( -0.09) | 69.49% ( 0.08) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.17% ( -0.04) | 15.83% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.99% ( -0.07) | 45.01% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Newry City AFC | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.75% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 54.48% |
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