Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 13.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Newry City AFC
68.48%	18.04%	13.48%

Both teams to score 54.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.7%

37.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.49%

59.51%

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.08%

9.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.16%

32.84%

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.25%

39.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.58%

76.41%

Score Analysis

Glenavon 68.47%

Newry City AFC 13.48%

Draw 18.04%

Glenavon	Draw	Newry City AFC
2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 9.11% 3-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 7.48% 4-0 @ 4.68% 4-1 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 3.45% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.99% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 4.01% Total : 68.47%	1-1 @ 8.41% 2-2 @ 4.48% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.04%	1-2 @ 3.88% 0-1 @ 3.64% 0-2 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.38% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.71% Total : 13.48%