SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 56.61%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 0-1 (8.19%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
21.99% ( 0.06) | 21.39% ( -0) | 56.61% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.1% ( 0.08) | 37.9% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.85% ( 0.09) | 60.15% ( -0.09) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( 0.09) | 30.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.24% ( 0.11) | 66.76% ( -0.12) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( 0.01) | 13.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.89% ( 0.02) | 40.11% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 21.99% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.6% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 56.62% |
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