Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.

Result
Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Carrick Rangers
44.57%	23%	32.43%

Both teams to score 64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.93%

37.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.74%

59.26%

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.89%

17.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.69%

47.31%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21%

22.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5%

56.49%

Score Analysis

Dungannon Swifts 44.57%

Carrick Rangers 32.43%

Draw 22.99%

Dungannon Swifts	Draw	Carrick Rangers
2-1 @ 8.99% 1-0 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 4.2% Total : 44.57%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 7.53% 0-1 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.43%