SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Newry City AFC |
42.92% ( -0.03) | 25.67% ( 0.08) | 31.4% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.37) | 49.76% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.33) | 71.77% ( 0.33) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( -0.18) | 23.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( -0.26) | 56.9% ( 0.26) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.22) | 29.62% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% ( -0.27) | 65.65% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.4% |
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