SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Monaco |
45.49% ( -0.26) | 25.12% ( -0.12) | 29.39% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( 0.68) | 48.28% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( 0.62) | 70.43% ( -0.63) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( 0.17) | 21.25% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.84% ( 0.26) | 54.16% ( -0.26) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( 0.62) | 30.26% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( 0.73) | 66.43% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.39% |
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