SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Nice |
60% ( 1.27) | 21.84% ( -0.06) | 18.14% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% ( -1.61) | 45.48% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.18% ( -1.56) | 67.81% ( 1.55) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.25% ( -0.13) | 14.74% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.03% ( -0.25) | 42.96% ( 0.25) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.21% ( -2.28) | 38.78% ( 2.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -2.23) | 75.51% ( 2.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.61)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.14% |
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