Although they have stumbled in recent weeks, Nice still boast the joint-best defensive record in Ligue 1, while Nantes are not prolific by any means. Therefore, one moment of magic, or madness, could decide this contest in the home side's favour.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.05) 
