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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
N

Nantes
2 - 2
Nice

Sissoko (31'), Mohamed (88')
Moutoussamy (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moffi (5'), Ndayishimiye (71')
Bard (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 4-2 Nantes
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-1 Nice
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Nantes 0-1 Nice

There is no shame in losing to PSG at Parc des Princes, but it is the long-term form of Nantes which will have fans worrying of an unexpected relegation battle this season. Nice have a short turnaround after their midweek trip to Moldova, but despite this they should have enough to earn three points against Les Canaris on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawNice
32.67% (-0.215 -0.22) 26.43%40.89% (0.214 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.17% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)52.52% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)74.19% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.164 -0.16)30.15% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.199 -0.2)66.3% (0.199 0.2)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69% (0.091999999999999 0.09)25.31% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.91% (0.125 0.13)60.08% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 32.67%
    Nice 40.89%
    Draw 26.43%
NantesDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.63% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 40.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 4-2 Nantes
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Juventus
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, February 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-1 Nice
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-3 Nice
Sunday, February 26 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Reims
Saturday, February 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-0 Ajaccio
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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