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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
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Nice
1 - 1
Nantes

Pepe (90+6' pen.)
Todibo (60'), Bryan (68'), Bard (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ganago (49')
Kombouare (76'), Sissoko (84'), Lafont (90+3'), Lafont (90+8'), Moutoussamy (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 4-1 Brest
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-1 Nantes

Nice are not exactly on cloud nine right now, and their attacking capabilities have taken a hit with the loss of Delort, but Dante's return to the backline could prove invaluable in their defensive efforts. While Nantes' efforts from last weekend are to be rightly applauded, all four of their goals came from Brest errors, and they will not get much change out of Nice in that regard. With Kombouare's side stil looking vulnerable at the back, we think that a score draw is the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NiceDrawNantes
56.9% (-0.061 -0.06) 23.36% (0.0039999999999978 0) 19.73% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.18% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43% (0.057000000000002 0.06)49.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (0.048999999999999 0.05)71.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)17.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)47.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6% (0.093999999999994 0.09)39.4% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9% (0.087 0.09)76.09% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nice 56.89%
    Nantes 19.73%
    Draw 23.36%
NiceDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 19.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Slovacko
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nice 3-2 Troyes
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Slovacko 0-1 Nice
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nice
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-1 Angers
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 4-1 Brest
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-4 Freiburg
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Nantes
Sunday, October 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 Nantes
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lens
Sunday, September 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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