SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Metz |
42.8% ( -0.28) | 25.82% ( 0.24) | 31.39% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% ( -0.99) | 50.37% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% ( -0.89) | 72.31% ( 0.9) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.56) | 23.39% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( -0.83) | 57.38% ( 0.84) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( -0.47) | 29.93% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( -0.57) | 66.03% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 31.39% |
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