SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 75.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 9.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 2-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
9.5% ( 0.01) | 15.21% ( 0) | 75.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.01) | 34.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.25% ( 0.01) | 56.75% ( -0.01) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.12% ( 0.03) | 44.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.16% ( 0.03) | 80.83% ( -0.02) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.24% | 7.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.42% ( -0) | 27.58% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 9.5% | 1-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 15.21% | 0-2 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 6.2% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.97% 0-5 @ 3.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.54% 2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.35% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.08% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 75.29% |
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