SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Fakel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nizhny Novgorod | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nizhny Novgorod | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
56.97% ( -0.23) | 23.51% ( 0.08) | 19.52% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.58% ( -0.13) | 50.42% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.65% ( -0.12) | 72.35% ( 0.11) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.51% ( -0.13) | 17.48% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.02% ( -0.23) | 47.97% ( 0.22) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% ( 0.08) | 40.12% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.24% ( 0.07) | 76.76% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.52% |
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