Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
0.02) 
-0) 
