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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 12.15pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
1 - 0
Nizhny Novgorod

Zhemaletdinov (83')
Glushenkov (60'), Karpukas (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aleksandrov (14'), Troshechkin (65'), Gotsuk (74')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zenit 1-2 Lokomotiv
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-1 Orenburg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawNizhny Novgorod
57.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03) 22.79% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 20.09%
Both teams to score 52.53% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28% (-0.113 -0.11)46.72% (0.11600000000001 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.02% (-0.106 -0.11)68.98% (0.10799999999999 0.11)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)16.12% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)45.53% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)37.38% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)74.16% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 57.11%
    Nizhny Novgorod 20.09%
    Draw 22.79%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawNizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 57.11%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 20.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zenit 1-2 Lokomotiv
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 0-2 Orenburg
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 3-2 Baltika
Sunday, September 3 at 1.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 0-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-1 Lokomotiv
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Krylia Sovetov
Saturday, August 12 at 1pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-1 Orenburg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 1-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Friday, September 15 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 Rubin Kazan
Saturday, September 2 at 1.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 Rostov
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 2-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 Akhmat Grozny
Monday, August 14 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League


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