SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
41.82% ( -0.04) | 25.27% ( -0.1) | 32.91% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( 0.49) | 47.51% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( 0.45) | 69.72% ( -0.45) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( 0.19) | 22.62% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.75% ( 0.29) | 56.24% ( -0.29) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( 0.32) | 27.52% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( 0.42) | 63.03% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.91% |
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