Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 16
Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Erceg (39'), Vuk (51'), Kadusic (55'), Devetak (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and Hajduk Split.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
| Result |
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Hajduk Split |
16.72% ( 0.09) | 24.18% ( 0.28) | 59.1% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 42.75% ( -0.57) |
| 43.28% ( -0.85) | 56.72% ( 0.86) |
| 22.33% ( -0.69) | 77.67% ( 0.69) |
| 52.81% ( -0.4) | 47.19% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.37% ( -0.3) | 82.63% ( 0.3) |
| 80.96% ( -0.46) | 19.04% ( 0.46) |
