Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Kadusic (78'), Josipovic (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and NK Lokomotiva.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.
| Result |
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
31.27% ( 0.36) | 26.88% ( 0.06) | 41.85% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( -0.03) |
| 45.31% ( -0.11) | 54.69% ( 0.12) |
| 23.99% ( -0.09) | 76.01% ( 0.1) |
| 67.8% ( 0.2) | 32.21% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.3% ( 0.22) | 68.7% ( -0.22) |
| 74.21% ( -0.27) | 25.8% ( 0.27) |
