SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | NK Varazdin |
62.28% ( -0.04) | 20.69% ( 0.09) | 17.04% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( -0.5) | 42.21% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.5) | 64.62% ( 0.5) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% ( -0.17) | 12.99% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.49% ( -0.34) | 39.51% ( 0.34) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% ( -0.36) | 38.13% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% ( -0.34) | 74.9% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hajduk Split | Draw | NK Varazdin |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.69% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.04% |
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