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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 16
Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina

Istra 1961
0 - 2
Hajduk Split


Erceg (39'), Vuk (51'), Kadusic (55'), Devetak (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sahiti (16'), Livaja (90' pen.)
Livaja (27'), Kalik (90+3')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rudes 0-4 Istra 1961
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Varazdin
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
NK Istra 1961DrawHajduk Split
16.72% (0.087 0.09) 24.18% (0.281 0.28) 59.1% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 42.75% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (-0.855 -0.85)56.72% (0.858 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (-0.691 -0.69)77.67% (0.693 0.69)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)47.19% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (-0.3 -0.3)82.63% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.458 -0.46)19.04% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.38% (-0.768 -0.77)50.62% (0.77 0.77)
Score Analysis
    NK Istra 1961 16.72%
    Hajduk Split 59.1%
    Draw 24.18%
NK Istra 1961DrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 6.75% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 4.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 16.72%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.292 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 14.9% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 12.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 6.83% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.13% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 59.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rudes 0-4 Istra 1961
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, November 5 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 3-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, October 28 at 5.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Rijeka
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 8 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-4 NK Lokomotiva
Monday, October 2 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Varazdin
Sunday, November 12 at 3.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 0-1 Hajduk Split
Wednesday, November 8 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Rudes
Saturday, November 4 at 5.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Hajduk Split
Friday, October 27 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-2 Osijek
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Hajduk Split
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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