Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
Result | ||
Osijek | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
60.82% ( 0.06) | 21.96% ( -0) | 17.22% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.03% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.54% ( -0.08) | 47.47% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.32% ( -0.07) | 69.68% ( 0.08) |
Osijek Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.86% ( -0) | 15.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.28% ( -0.01) | 43.72% ( 0.02) |
NK Istra 1961 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.95% ( -0.11) | 41.05% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.4% ( -0.1) | 77.6% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Osijek | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 60.81% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.22% |
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