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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.10pm UK
Stadion Gradski vrt

Osijek
3 - 1
Istra 1961

Jugovic (47', 86', 90+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Filet (90+7')
Devetak (37'), Petrusenko (74'), Douglas (90+1')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-2 Osijek
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Rijeka
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.

Result
OsijekDrawNK Istra 1961
60.82% (0.061 0.06) 21.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 17.22% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.03% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)47.47% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.32% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)69.68% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)15.14% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.28% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)43.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)41.05% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-0.104 -0.1)77.6% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 60.81%
    NK Istra 1961 17.22%
    Draw 21.96%
OsijekDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 60.81%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.96%
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-2 Osijek
Sunday, October 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 3-0 Rudes
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 1-0 Osijek
Saturday, September 30 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-1 Varazdin
Friday, September 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 Osijek
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-3 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, September 3 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Rijeka
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 8 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-4 NK Lokomotiva
Monday, October 2 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-1 Gorica
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, September 17 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, September 2 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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