SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 79.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 6.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.89%) and 1-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
79.67% ( -0.03) | 13.78% ( 0.14) | 6.55% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.39% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.9% ( -1.2) | 39.1% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.57% ( -1.27) | 61.43% ( 1.27) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.2% ( -0.27) | 7.8% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.3% ( -0.71) | 27.7% ( 0.71) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.9% ( -1.16) | 55.11% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.06% ( -0.7) | 87.94% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Istra 1961 |
| 2-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.46)2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.12)6-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.04% Total : 79.66% | 1-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.46% Total : 13.78% | 0-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.05% Total : 6.55% |
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