Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
