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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
CU

Northampton
0 - 0
Cambridge

 
FT

Lavery (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Cambridge United

A closely-fought contest between two teams keen to swiftly return to winning ways could be in store on Saturday. Playing at Sixfields may give Northampton a slight psychological edge, but we feel that Cambridge will do just enough to grind out a draw on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
48.7% (0.175 0.17) 23.98% (-0.115 -0.11) 27.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.34 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (0.47 0.47)44.59% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (0.45399999999999 0.45)66.96% (-0.45100000000001 -0.45)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (0.25200000000001 0.25)18.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (0.425 0.42)49.58% (-0.423 -0.42)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (0.202 0.2)29.86% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.242 0.24)65.95% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.7%
    Cambridge United 27.32%
    Draw 23.98%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-5 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Kettering
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 6-1 Cambridge
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Woking 0-1 Cambridge
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One


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