SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.69%) and 1-3 (5.5%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
33.84% ( -0.08) | 19.17% ( -0.01) | 46.98% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 79.68% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.64% ( 0.01) | 17.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.76% ( 0.02) | 34.23% ( -0.02) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( -0.02) | 12.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.24% ( -0.04) | 38.76% ( 0.04) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.2% ( 0.02) | 8.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.81% ( 0.06) | 30.19% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 5.27% Total : 33.84% | 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 1-1 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.93% ( -0)4-4 @ 1.23% 0-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.17% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 5.69% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)0-1 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 2.39% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)3-5 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 5.08% Total : 46.98% |
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