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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 38.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.09%) and 3-2 (5.08%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
41.46% ( -0.07) | 20.45% ( 0) | 38.08% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 75.69% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.37% ( -0.01) | 22.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.25% ( -0.01) | 41.75% ( 0.01) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% ( -0.03) | 12.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.66% ( -0.05) | 38.33% ( 0.05) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.42% ( 0.02) | 13.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.32% ( 0.04) | 40.67% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 3.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 41.46% | 2-2 @ 7.31% 1-1 @ 7.02% ( 0)3-3 @ 3.39% 0-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 1.05% Total : 20.45% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.43% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.08% |
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