SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 41%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.07%) and 2-3 (4.61%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
37.5% ( 0.01) | 21.49% ( -0.01) | 41% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 71.38% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.03) | 28.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.2% ( 0.04) | 48.8% ( -0.05) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( 0.02) | 16.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.33% ( 0.03) | 45.66% ( -0.04) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( 0) | 14.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% ( 0.02) | 43.13% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.4% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 2% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.66% Total : 37.5% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.61% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.42% 2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 41% |
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