SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Stoke City Under-21s | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Nottingham Forest Under-21s | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 11 | Derby County Under-21s | 4 | -13 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 58.47%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
58.47% ( -1.28) | 19.55% ( -0.06) | 21.98% ( 1.35) |
| Both teams to score 67.21% ( 2.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.12% ( 2.26) | 28.88% ( -2.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.18% ( 2.72) | 49.82% ( -2.72) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.06% ( 0.37) | 9.94% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.12% ( 0.84) | 32.88% ( -0.84) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% ( 2.46) | 25.38% ( -2.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.82% ( 3.25) | 60.18% ( -3.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.68)1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.69)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.11)4-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.84% Total : 58.47% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.27)Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.21% Total : 21.98% |
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