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FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
BC

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Bristol City

Nott'm Forest win 5-3 on penalties
Origi (8')
FT
(aet)
Knight (14')
Conway (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Leeds
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%).

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBristol City
30.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 26.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 42.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)54.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)75.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.68% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.23% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)25.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)59.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 30.41%
    Bristol City 42.84%
    Draw 26.73%
Nottingham ForestDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.14% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 11.34%
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-2 Arsenal
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Blackpool 2-3 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Blackpool
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Leeds
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Watford
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 West Ham
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Preston 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship


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