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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vitality Stadium
NF

Bournemouth
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Kluivert (5')
Senesi (23'), Kluivert (35'), Neto (86')
Billing (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hudson-Odoi (45')
Espirito Santo (24'), Omobamidele (55'), Yates (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Bournemouth
Thursday, February 1 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawNottingham Forest
50.45% (1.98 1.98) 23.91% (0.21 0.21) 25.64% (-2.194 -2.19)
Both teams to score 55.95% (-2.666 -2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (-2.638 -2.64)45.56% (2.633 2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (-2.566 -2.57)67.88% (2.56 2.56)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.244 -0.24)18.11% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.416 -0.42)49.05% (0.41 0.41)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (-3.048 -3.05)31.67% (3.043 3.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (-3.655 -3.66)68.08% (3.65 3.65)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 50.45%
    Nottingham Forest 25.64%
    Draw 23.9%
BournemouthDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.991 0.99)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.788 0.79)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.416 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.254 -0.25)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.163 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 50.45%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.62 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.399 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.413 -0.41)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.353 -0.35)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 25.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Bournemouth
Thursday, February 1 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 5-0 Swansea
Thursday, January 25 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: QPR 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, December 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Fulham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-2 Arsenal
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Blackpool 2-3 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Blackpool
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Man Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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