SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
52.32% ( -1.14) | 23.86% ( 0.24) | 23.81% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( -0.14) | 47.02% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( -0.13) | 69.26% ( 0.13) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( -0.48) | 17.94% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% ( -0.82) | 48.77% ( 0.82) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( 0.72) | 33.99% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.32% ( 0.77) | 70.67% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.22% Total : 23.81% |
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