We said: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Bristol City
With little wrong with Bristol City's attacking form, this should prove to be a competitive affair. Nevertheless, with more at stake, Forest need to raise their game, and the end result could be a narrow victory courtesy of a late winner.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
