SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Crystal Palace |
37.06% ( -0.22) | 26.26% ( 0.07) | 36.67% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( -0.29) | 51.3% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.25) | 73.13% ( 0.25) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( -0.26) | 26.85% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.84% ( -0.34) | 62.15% ( 0.34) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.05) | 27.08% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( -0.06) | 62.45% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.67% |
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