Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.